Wednesday, September 26, 2018

Nifty Future Trade



Nifty Yesterday’s Session
                                                         
Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

Nifty Future has continued its fall-fall season for couple of days; although yesterday after making low 10909 Nifty Future has taken a bounce back to 11103.80.
After correcting 7.4959% from its life time high 11793 this bounce back is very hopeful but after showing its pattern not sure about the life of this bounce back. Nifty Future may corrected again towards 10861 if face tough hurdle today.

According to behavioral finance trader will jump to buy and will be trapped at higher level. Keep patience; wait at least today’s closing. Till yesterday’s closing there is no sign of bounce back. Don’t mixed with bounce back and recover.


FII/FPI & DII trading activity on NSE, BSE and MSEI

As like the day before yesterday, Foreign Institutional Investors were on sell side and Domestic Institutional Investors were on buy side.
Yesterday FII have trade maximum on sell side and the amount was -1231.7 Cr. and DII net traded on buy side of +2284.26 Cr.

It seems at a corrective move, the corrective patters are created by FIIs and recover pattern are being created by DIIs.

India VIX Snapshot

Yesterday I have written about the hurdle of India VIX 18.2900, at trading session it made high 18.3100 and start to fall to 16.2175. But till it running above 67% of 52 weeks high (24.0350).
works sheet with two polar bear
Work of 25 Septm.
 Key Support-Resistance level of Nifty Future

Above 11132.49 Nifty Future may run to touch 11176.55. But this is not a long term buying scope. Closing above 11238 Nifty Future will confirm the buy opportunity. Wait till then.

Below 10888/10884 crucial support is 10861.

Today’s Overview:

After a long term correcting when it seems that market is oversold then a conflict an irritation does work in the mind of investors. It is natural, the fear, fear of losses change act strongly.

Work of 25 September:
work sheet at pie chart
Work-Pie Chart
There were four trades; out of this three has given profit. Profit was 136 points per lot.

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

nifty short trading


Nifty Melting Session
                                                         
Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

Nifty Future continued its fall-fall season at fifth consecutive days, yesterday’s fall was not as too sharp as Friday’s. But it was quite painful for Bulls. .
After making high  11185 at opening Nifty Future made its first bottom at 11107. A small try of  pull back Nifty Future to 11147, but failed to stay and smoooooooooth fall to 11010 and after that 10969.

The main factors which drag Nifty Future below 11000:

FII/FPI & DII trading activity on NSE, BSE and MSEI

Yesterday Foreign Institutional Investors executed buy of 7589.48 Cr. and sold 8113.42 Cr. net trade was -523.94 Cr. And Domestic Institutional investors have bought 5471 Cr. against sell 3943.33 Cr. net trade was +1527.67 Cr.

Then at which sell-out market has corrected? Of non-institutional or retails investors? Oh! Seleucus, what an amazing country is INDIA. 

India VIX Snapshot

Yesterday’s high was 17.8550. And was 74% of 52 week high (24.0350).  Above 18.29 it may be more powerful and would the provider of strength to drag Nifty Future below 10861.

Most active contracts

Most active CALL was 11200, and open interest was generate 29, 52,000 and most active PUT was 11000, contracts was added 34, 00,200.
Key Support-Resistance level of Nifty Future

Very vital resistance of the day is 11070//11073(11072.60). If Nifty Future crosses it then 11096 would be the relief point of Bulls.

Very vital support is 10890, after breaking it if Nifty Future takes support at 10861 then a possibility of reverse move is possible, but if break the level with volume then be ready for pitch black correction.

Closing below 10798 would be the cause of PANIC.

Today’s Overview:

Now the question arrives, what should be the reversal point, from where Bulls can take a fresh breath?
a profitable trade
good trade

Yesterday’s Nifty Option trade:

Yesterday at 10:10 am updated our Clients to buy 10950 PUT (September expiry) @47 with 1st target 85 to 94.

10:12 am option made low 46.42 and reverse. Intraday high was 86.55


Monday, September 24, 2018

nifty future price


Nifty Trade at last session
                                                         
Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

Nifty Future continued its fall season at fourth consecutive days, and Friday’s fall was sudden and sharp. From intraday’s high 11385 Nifty Future fall 3.3377%, at last hour it recover 1.93% from day’s low 11005.
one bear and one bull with two reverse arrows indicating 10861
Reversal Point
From last four day writing don’t trapped at higher level.

Today’s Overview:
                                                                     ---14/09/2018
Today’s Overview:
“From any resistance a sharp correction is possible. Don’t be trapped at higher level”                                                           ---17/09/2018

Today’s Overview:
“Any pull back is good opportunity to go short (intraday).Below 11458 markets is week only”                                              ----18/09/2018

Today’s Overview:
                                                              ---21/09/2018

“At 12:34 pm Nifty Future made high 11385 and start to fall sharply,”



FII/FPI & DII trading activity on NSE, BSE and MSEI

Look at the volume was created only by FIIs and DIIs, almost 3 times greater than average. FII bought at last trading session 15442.5 Cr. against sell 14681.8 Cr. And Domestic Institutional Investors have bought 6336.8 Cr. against sell 5839.05 Cr. both Institutions were on buy side.
India-VIX -graph
India VIX
India VIX Snapshot

Opened at 14.0050 and made high 16.9200, and close at 15.5315. Indicating more fall. I have written several times that increase of India VIX is signal of correction in Market.


Key Support-Resistance level of Nifty Future

Above 11234 very vital resistance is 11259(11258.72), if touch this level and fail to break then Bulls be cautious. A sharp fall may take place. If cross the mentioned resistance level and close above the level the may touch 11322 within two sessions.

Below 11155 may fall to 11058 without any support. Single closings below 11026/11024 just wait for 10861.
market overview
Overview
Today’s Overview:

From any resistance (out of two) a sharp fall is quite possible. If cross 11259 then huge short covering will pull back market steadily.

Friday, September 21, 2018

nifty future live


Nifty Trade at last session
                                                         
Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

From 14th September’s day high 11559 Nifty Future is correcting continuously. At three consecutive days downfall Nifty Future already lost 2.725% from last Friday’s high.
At Wednesday’s session all possible bounce back was a trap, from last three day writing don’t trapped at higher level.

Today’s Overview:
                                                                     ---14/09/2018
Today’s Overview:
“From any resistance a sharp correction is possible. Don’t be trapped at higher level”                             ---17/09/2018

Today’s Overview:


Picture is clear to you, what is happening from last three days;

FII/FPI & DII trading activity on NSE, BSE and MSEI

OWO! Only FII have sold 6450 Cr. against buy 4265.45 Cr. total sell amount /net trade value was -2184.55 Cr. at opposite DII have tried to resists the fall by buying of 1201.3 Cr.

India VIX Snapshot

Opened at 14.4150 and made low at 11.7450 when Nifty Future was reversing to 11373.90(day’s high). After that it jumps to above open price at 14.4775, when Nifty Future was melting down to 11244 slowly and steadily.  We have to look at 10.7500, if break then wait for more correction.
 Key Support-Resistance level of Nifty Future

Opening above 11336 and smooth cross 11365 level then next hurdle for Nifty Future is 11390, hard but not impossible resistance is 11417/418.

If Nifty Future fail to cross 11365 and start to melt down and break 11289.57 then crucial support of the day is Wednesday’s low 11244. Below this very strong support is 11204.

Today’s Overview:

If Nifty Future crosses 11365 within 1st hour of opening then a bounce back possibility will generate. Be cautious and wait at side line for fast half of session.


Wednesday, September 19, 2018

Nifty Trading Tips


Nifty Trade at last session
                                                         
Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

After a flat opening Nifty Future has continued its corrective move for last two consecutive days. Through the session never tried to bounce back, two small re-bounce (11379 up 11438 and 11357 up 11428) were regular corrective move.
a red arrow indicating down side with eight bars
Market Correcting

Main strength provider of yesterday’s correction was Foreign Institutional Investors; they have Sell 5848.17 Cr. against buy of 4704.44 Cr. net trade value was -1143.73 Cr. where DIIs act as opposite; their net trade value was +264.66 Cr.

Most active Call strike 11500, and Open Interest was 42,99,450 and most active Put 11200, contacts was add 37,20,525, that investors are expecting a range of 11500 to 11200.

The day before yesterday high low of India VIX was 14.6350-11.7300, yesterday Nifty Future fall 140 points from its day high but high-low of India VIX 14.6200-11.8725, quite similar of yesterday, what is this index indicating, any bounce back? Let see…


Key Support-Resistance level of Nifty Future

First resistance of first half is 11343, above this 11352 will act as tough hurdle to cross.

Crucial support zone of the day is 11285—11282, if break it then Nifty Future will take next support at 11204.
group of some men working on a table
Group Work

Today’s Overview:

Like as last three sessions I am writing about the correction, at overview column writing to go short, yesterday also written “any pull back is good opportunity to go short (intraday)”. Today’s picture may vary (if volume support), from days low a bounce back is quite possible.

Tomorrow is holiday at NSE equity segment, therefore don’t carry any position.


Tuesday, September 18, 2018

Nifty Trade Today


Nifty Trade at last session
                                                         
Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

After Wednesday’s last hour move and Friday’s steady up move Nifty Future able to recover 2.319% from 11297 to 11559. I have written at last two days
---“this up move may be a turning points” --: from any resistance level a sharp correction is possible, don’t trapped at higher level”
Just look what happened, just look what happened, and within one trading day Nifty Future melts down from 11559 to 11392.yesterday Nifty Future never tried to take a bounce back, always move was ready to sleep below.

Yesterday Foreign Institutional Investors’ (FII) net trade value was -106.54 Cr. and Domestic Institutional Investor’s (DII) net trade value was -180.36 Cr. both intuitions were on sell side.

India VIX jump from 11.7300 to 14.6350, and was the strength provider to correct the market. Today above 14.7800 and stay above then correction may be steadier.


Key Support-Resistance level of Nifty Future

Below yesterday’s low 11372 Nifty Future may take next support at 11342, Single closing below 11325 may drag Nifty Future to 11224.

A bounce back from any support level may pull Nifty Future to 11392/11396, above this 11422/11427.

Today’s Overview:

Any pull back is good opportunity to go short (intraday).Below 11458 markets is week only.

trade analysis of Nifty future
Trade 17 Sep'2018

Trade of 17th September’2018:

Positional traders (Clients) are holding Nifty Future short positions from 11445.60 with SL their entry.
pie-chart risk reward ratio
Risk n Reward ratio


Monday, September 17, 2018

Nifty Future Today


Nifty Trade at last session
                                                         
Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

On Friday after a gap-up opening Nifty Future able to sustain above the previous day’s high (11430) through the session. Day’s low was 11466; Wednesday’s high was 11430.
Through the session Nifty Future made three tops, after first top 11504.95 Nifty Future take a small intraday correct to 11466, after that from 2nd top 11530 to 11505. Final top was 11559. And Nifty Future closed at 11547.30, far above psychological level 11500.

Both the Institutional Investors have participated at the up-move. Most active was FIIs, their net trade value was +1090.56 Cr. followed by DIIs, their net trade value was +115.14 Cr.


Just look what happened, Nifty Future made a sharp bounce back with gap-up opening and closing above 11500. At previous trading session India VIX show a sharp decline from day’s high 14.2500 to 12.3225.

Most active call was 11600, Open Interest was 32, 45,250 and most active put was 11400, the contracts was added was 40, 55,625.
Key Support-Resistance level of Nifty Future

At first half of session vital resistance is 11580, if cross it smoothly then vital resistance is 11597. At this level a profit booking not be ruled out. If able to cross 11605 then may touch 11625---11634.

Weekly closing below 11339 Nifty Future may drag to 11261—11230 level.

Today’s Overview:

From any resistance a sharp correction is possible. Don’t be trapped at higher level.

Friday, September 14, 2018

Nifty Future Tip


Nifty Trade Yesterday
                                                         
Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

After breaking previous day’s low (11322) Nifty Future tried to recover from 1st low 11300 to 11365, but failed and sleep down to 11297, and finally sharply and made day’s high 11430.
After two days continue correction this bounce back was a relief for Bulls for the time being. But you should take it carefully; it may be a relief or may be a trap for bulls.

Indian VIX open-high was 15.3300(also previous day close), from the top it made low 12.9800(-7.05%). A steady decries of VIX high to low indicating low volatility at market. And clear the chance of bounce back from a corrective move.

As like Tuesday’s session (-1454.63 Cr.) also at Wednesday Foreign Institutional Investors have net sold -1086.39 Cr. But as usual Domestic Institutional Investors was at buy mood. They have bough net +541.44 Cr.


Key Support-Resistance level of Nifty future

At first half of trade Nifty Future may take support at 11375.60. If sleep it (!) then may take next crucial support at 11330.
Vital resistance of the day is 11483.85 above this level tough hurdle is 11505. Be cautious at this level. Nifty Future may reverse to down around this level.

Today’s Overview:

First half’s move will towards upside. If volume support then may face hurdle around 11505. It may be a turning point.



Wednesday, September 12, 2018

Nifty Trading View


Nifty Trade Yesterday
                                                         
Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

There was no sign of reversal, from opening Nifty future was correcting sharply. Once have tries to recover from 11456 to 11497 but fail to cross 11500 and start the round of fall again.
The overall PANIC drag  Nifty Future to 11322, blood flow was continue till 2.798% fall from its recent high 11648.

Indian VIX is increasing continuously. Yesterday’s high was 15.4475, greater than previous day’s high 15.3150.

Just look what Foreign Institutional Investors have down yesterday. Their net 8015.47 Cr. against it they have sell 9469.83 Cr, net trade value -1454.63 Cr. whereas Domestic Institutional Investors was on opposite direction, they have bough greeter than sell, total value was 749.62 Cr.

Key Support-Resistance level of Nifty future

Nifty future will try ti sustain above yesterday’s low 11322 at opening, if it possible then Nifty Future will face tough hurdle at 11358/59. If cross 11362---11368 level with volume then wait for a bounce back.

After Nifty Future sleep down below 11322 then next support is 11289.60.

Today’s Overview:

If fail to cross the resistance level mentioned above then try Future will start to melt down and may take support at 11289.60. Never try to catch a fallen knife.

Many small investors get trapped at reversal points. Always wait for a good reversal points. Our posts always try to predict the level correctly with the view of technical analysis.



Tuesday, September 11, 2018

Nifty Trading Tips


Nifty Future Traded
                                                         
Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

After opening at gap-down Nifty Future continue its red journey to more deep red. Nifty Future made first low at 11486, lower by
1.39% from previous day’s high 11648.
Have tried a small recover but failed and made low. I have written several time continuous increase of volatility is a symbol of coming fall. Closing near new intraday low indicated more correction is pending.

WOW…..Indian VIX is 15.3150, increasing strongly. Means more low is due to be show. Index increased by 10.25% then yesterday’s high 13.8900.

Just look at Institutional Investor’s yesterday trade value. FII have bitten the market heavily, their net trade value was -841.68 CR, and DII have followed FII by selling by -289.66 Cr.

Sentiment of USA-China trade war and dramatic fall of rupee at 72.45 were the main cause of this fall. INR issue is more critical, no sign of recovery. Small investors don’t panic and wait at side line for a while, and wait for a good bottom to enter.

Strike 11400 PE made maximum Open Interest, contacts was 44, 29,575. Is very meaningful, Nifty future may break down below 11400 levels.


Key Support-Resistance level of Nifty future

At first couple of hours Nifty Future may take support at 11436. Below that vital support is 11416.Single closing below 11408 Nifty Future may meltdown to 11290.
Will try to take a reverse from any support level and in that case vital resistance is 11493/94. After crossing above 11533 Nifty Future will gain its strength.


Today’s Overview:

Intraday traders trade with strict stop losses, never average any losing trade with hope one day it will recover. If you do this mistake, then definitely one day market will recover, but you will be not capable to trade then.