Nifty Future Tips

Nifty Trade yesterday

                                                         

Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

At the second day of expiry week Nifty Future continue the trend of making new high. After making high at 11761.70 Nifty Future sleep 11715. But at the end of the session sudden volume act as provider of strength to come back Nifty Future again at 11761.

Analysis of Market

Strike price of most active call was 11800, Open interest generate was 26, 53,575 and most active Put was 11700, OI was 34, 61,400. This data suggest a range bound move between11800 to 11700.

After making the base at 9.4300 and 9.5150 respectively at Tuesday India VIX jump to 12.6000 and the base was 10.3775. All of this indicating volatility going to be increases.

 Yesterday both institutions were on sell side.FII net trade value was -161.05 and so as DII -199.28. Both data suggest Nifty Future is near its Top,

Today’s Overview:

After analyzing the three key factors it is clear that a small correction is overdue. And this will be a healthy correction. Investors should start some profit booking. A correction around 150 points is quite possible. Today’s trade will be some stock specific.

Group Disc.

 Nifty Future is going to day

Very vital resistance of the day is 11766.77. If volume generates at large scale then Nifty future may touch 11784. Tough hurdle to cross is 11818.

Nifty future may test support level at 11722, if break the mentioned level then Nifty Future may melt down to 11692. Crucial support of the week (before expiry) is 11666---------11617/11615.

Holding Positions:

Our Clients are holding Nifty Future long position from 11682, (tips given at 01:39 pm, 27 August). Yesterday's high was 11761.

Intraday traders book profit at 11707 on Monday.

Share Market Tips

Nifty Trade yesterday

                                                         

Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

At the first day of expiry week Nifty Future continue the trend of making new high. Yesterday’s high was significant because after making fresh high 11712.90 it close at fresh high price 11705.35.start from the base 9960 Nifty future already run 17.57% to 11712.90.

stock-market-banner.jpg

Indian VIX

On Friday low of India VIX was 9.4300, from Friday’s low 11541 Nifty Future jump higher 1.48947% to 11712.90 but VIX low was 9.5150, upper range from Friday’s low.

This is indicating Nifty is near of a Top of a mild correction is over-due.

FII and DII activities on NSE

 Yesterday Foreign Institutional Investor’s net trade value was 252.52 Cr. And Domestic Institutional Investor’s net trade was 1117.24 Cr. And at last two trading session DII’s net bought 2021.99 Cr. This is a key factor of increase of Nifty 1.4894% jump from Friday’s low to Monday’s high.

Most active Call and Puts.

At last trading session on Call side maximum open interest was generate was at the strike 11700 (28, 05,450). On the other hand most contract created on 11500 price (38, 54,750).

Today’s Overview:

After analyzing the three key factors it is clear that a mild correction is overdue. And this will be a healthy correction. Investors should start some profit booking a correction around 150 points is quite possible.

 

group work

Nifty Future is going to day

Very vital resistance of the day is 11766.77. above this Nifty Future may face tough hurdle at 11786-11789.and NF should make it’s high with in first hour of the session.

Nifty future may test support level at 11731/11727, below this 11706 it a vital support. Crucial support of the week (before expiry) is 11617/11615.

Yesterday’s Trade:

Yesterday at 01:39 pm we delivered the Call “Buy NF @11682 SL 11679 (just 3 points) Intraday target 11707 Positional Target #####”

Nifty Future Graph

Time Factor: 01:39 pm to 02:03 pm, 22 minutes to got the initiate the call.

Price Factor: Told to Buy @11682, NF made low 11681.68 and reverse.

Risk::Reward: SL was 3 points intraday Target was 25 points. 3::25=1::8.333

Nifty Trading Tips

Nifty Trade yesterday

                                                         

Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

Nifty future (Market also) continuing to form new highs from last few weeks. Maximum credit of previous week’s rally goes to two big player Reliance Industries and L&T.

predicting

Reliance increased 5.98% from 1207.65 to 1279.95 and L&T hike 10.75% from 1231.45 to 1363.90.

On Friday low of India VIX was 9.4300, far low from previous week’s average 13.2825. it is suggesting a strong up move, this week is of derivative expiry week, and naturally volatility will increase repeatedly. Let see what happen.

At last trading day of previous week most active Call option was 11600 and OI (open interest) generate was 39, 24,425 contracts. And most active Put was 11500 strike, OI was 40, 16,850 contracts.

Difference between OI of the two contracts was approx nil. And range is of 100 points. that means market participants are confuse. This is the chance of increase volatility.

Third and fourth session of last week FII and DII were on buy side. But at last trading session Foreign Institutional Investors was on sale side, net trade value was -75.78 Cr. And Domestic Institutional Investors bought huge, the amount was 904.75 Cr.

Investors

Nifty Future is going to day

Vital resistance of the day is 11602, If Nifty future open above this and cross 11622 then next resistance will be 11642. Single closing above 11684 quite chance to show 11830//11832 within this week.

If Nifty Future open around 11602 and fail to cross the level then next vital support is 11533---11531.85. Will Nifty Future reverse from this level?

Or will try to break 11512? In that case 11498 and 11469 will be the crucial supports of the week.

Nifty Future Today

Nifty Trade yesterday

                                                         

Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

Yesterday Nifty Future’s open was gap-up with forming a new life time high 116622. But fail to stay at green, it melt down to 11553 and reverse to 11604.90 again.

correction

Tuesday range of India VIX was 13.6350 – 9.9275, yesterday’s band was 13.1175 - 9.5300. No change of bands, just look at the two days’ Nifty Future move also, almost same.

Tuesday Nifty Future starts to melt down from 11590 to 11558 and reverse to 11592 again. Yesterday move was same as “V”, made high 11622 down to 11553 and reverse to 11604.90.

Yesterday Foreign Institutional Investors’ net trade (Buy value – Sell value) value was +433.21 Crores. And Domestic Institutional Investor’s net trade value 142 Crose. Both institutions are buying from last two days.

On last trading session most active Call strike price was same as Tuesday 11600, and Open Interest built was 35, 32,125 contracts, and Put strike was 11500. Open Interest was 45, 85,650 contracts, was followed by strike 11400, OI was 41, 99,775 contracts.

That’s clearly indicating market participants’ view is range bound between 11600 to 11400.

The term “Accuracy”

Mid day update

Yesterday updated about the resistance 11603 to 11605.90 at all social media……look what was the result…..”Nothing to Hide”

Nifty Future is going to day

Already written yesterday Nifty Future is looking slight overbought. And a correction of 130+ points is overdue. After hitting high of 11622 it melts down to 11553.

Now what?

Vital resistance of the day is 11615, If Nifty future open above this and cross 11622 then next resistance will be 11642.

But it is quite possible to trade below 11615 or below 11604.90. Then vital support is 11502, and crucial support is 11481. Then what?

There is any possibility to bounce back from any support level? Let see…

Logo

Stock Pick of the Month

Try to collect your memory, on 7 August, 2018 written about the Reliance Industries. Also written this is one of my favorite stocks. On 6^th August Reliance made high 1196, and I have updated to accumulate it.

Look what happened. Yesterday Reliance made fresh 52 week high of 1274 on NSE. On BSE it made high 1273.55. Free Float Market Capitalization (Crs.) 4, 46,087.36 and 4, 26,486...44 on NSE and BSE respectively.

As all of you know Reliance Industries Ltd. Is the 2^nd largest           WEIGHTAGE holder (9.34%) of Nifty 50, this is the one of the reasons Nifty Future turned green from red at the end of the session.

Nothing To Hide

Yes, Nothing To Hide,

 

nothing to hide

At 10:37 am updated our Clients vital support is 11551.

At 10:45 am Nifty Future made low 11553 and reverse….

AND….

Updated next vital resistance is 11603…..11605.93…..

And also updated at all our Social media handle….

Facebook, G+, Twitter, Linkedin….Etc….

And you have also see the banner at 12:22 pm…..

correctly predicted

What happened at 02:35 pm?

Nifty Future made high 11604.90 and sharply down to 11582.11…

Again reverse upto 11604.48 and melt down to 11589……

Just Think!....no don’t’ think about our work…..just think about the accuracy…..

5 key points of Nifty Future Trend Reversal

Nifty Future Trade

                                                         

Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

On Tuesday within 2 minutes of its’ opening Nifty future made a new high 11590 but fail to stay at Green, and continued as Red till 11558,   and almost end of the session made new life-time high 11592.

 

key points trade reversal

5 key points you should know before opening for profitable intraday trade:

1^st is Resistance of Nifty future

From last couple of days writing every day about new life time high, most probably today will not be an exception. First we have to look on 11598, may be Nifty Future open above 11611/11618. If happened then will touch 11642 within an hour.

Very vital resistances are 11728.54/11731.

2^nd is Support of Nifty future

Vital support of the day is 11609/11606, if Nifty Future touch one of this levels and able to stay above then it quite possible of sharp bounces back.

3^rd is Indian VIX

Write at every post how Indian VIX help to conclude the changing reversal. Told earlier increase of volatility means conflict between decision-between bulls and bears.

Monday’s high was 13.5500 and from there made low 11.3450, and of next session was 13.6350 to low 9.9275, decreasing lower band. That’s means low of volatility. And high chances to from a new high, BUT after that?

4^th is FII and DII Trade

Foreign Institutional Investors’ net trade (Buy value – Sell value) value was +254.25 Crores. And Domestic Institutional Investor’s net trade value 197.87 Crose on Tuesday’s session.

After a long time it is being to watch both the institution’s trade was at same direction. That is a good sign for Bulls.

 

mobile trading

5^th is Call – Put Option Open Interest

At last trading session maximum Call Option open interest was general on strike price 11600, and it was 34, 14000 contracts.

And maximum Put Option open interest was generated on 11400, and the contracts were 43, 50525.that data clearly meaning of a trading range 11600 to 11400 range.

Conclusion:

All above data is showing market is in a stable condition. And in favor of Bulls, but when everything is going good then there is something is to be wrong. Apart from all of this it is showing market is little overbought condition.

From the experiences of writing 1849 Blog post it is quite common to predict that from any resistance correction of 130+ points not be rules out.

Nifty Future Trading Tips

Nifty Future Nifty Stocks

                                                         

Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….

Nifty Future AGAIN touched a new life-time high today. the rally was led by several clauses, and was led by Metal-Banking-Financial sectors, Global Strong cues and some recovery of INR.

Ups n down

From last few posts writing about the Indian VIX, whenever VIX will increase that means volatility will be increased and correction at market will be stronger.

Just look on Friday VIX was 13.160, yesterday’s high was 13.5500 and from that level it made low 11.3450, what was the effect of it ? Nifty Future jump 11585 from 11510.

Intraday Trade of Nifty Future

Although maximum market motivated reasons in favors of BULLs, but Foreign Institutional Investors was one side seller, there net trade value is -483.04 Crores now question arise then why the effect was not seen?

The reason is Domestic Institutional Investors, they have bought 593.22 Crores.

The present rally of Nifty Future was started from 10556.95, yesterday’s high was 11585, a jump of 9.738%, at that point it seems slightly overbought, and some small correction can’t be ruled out.

 

mixed move

But as I written yesterday, before forming its’ TOP Nifty future will take more 2 corrections of 130+ points.

What to be today?

Now Nifty Future is running to break the previous and to make new high, this is the very crucial point where maximum retail investors get trapped. Don’t jump and buy at any level.

Just wait for a good bottom to buy. Today Nifty future may touch 11620, if cross the level with volume then may touch 11662.77, but very tough(!) hurdle is 11705 today.

Nifty Future Intraday Trading

Nifty Future Nifty Stocks

                                                         

Good Morning and Wish You a Happy Trading Session ….


Behind of Friday’s sharp bounce back of Nifty Future there is several reasons, one of them is HDFC Bank Ltd increased by 1.29% from previous day’s low and Reliance Industries Ltd. Increased by 1.66% from previous days’ low, as this two stocks are the most WEIGHTAGE holder of Nifty 50 (9.43% and 9.34% respectively).

Up moving

Intraday Trade of Nifty Future

On 9^th August’2018 Nifty Future made high 11504.20, after two days correction it made low 11354, from there start a recover move, on Friday made high 11507.45, a new lifetime high.

 Buy value of Foreign Institutional Investors was greater then Sell value by 147.31 Crore, you can  treat it as a sign of up move.

Because for last four days FIIs was at only sell side, and the total sell value was 2686.44 Crore in this days, same as Domestic Institutional Investors. Buy value was > then Sell value by 151.89 Crore.

What to be today?

Nifty Future may open with a positive note, and may face resistance around 11518 or 11528, from any point may take a 20 to 25 points of correction, don’t’ panic overall,

Team work

After that vital resistances are 11548 and 11560, (not 11548 to 11560), From day’s high correction of average 130+ points not be overruled. This is completely intraday scenario.

To form overall TOP for the time beings Nifty Future will take total 2 more corrections of about 130+ points. This is not the time to go for positional short. Wait for exact top.

Nifty Future Intraday Buy Sell 17th August

Nifty Yesterday’s activity

Yesterday Nifty Future tried to recover after negative opening; it made high 11460 and fails to sustain the move. And after that Nifty Future melt down 83 points sharply.

 

Nifty Future

On Thursday Indian VIX is increased significantly, writing from last couple of days that increased at VIX is making strong the possibilities of down fall. Look at the chart below how VIX is increasing. 

Indian VIX

FII’s net trade is -825.08 Crores, where DII have bought 133.78 Cr. Foreign Intuitional Investors are selling continuously, last four days total sell is 2686.44 Crores. Is this a clear signal of PANIC sell?

Vital Support Resistance on Friday’s Trade

Discussed earlier how VIX is increasing; there is possibility of down move, from 13^th Augusts’ low 11372 to 14^th Augusts’ high 11478 to yesterday’s low 11377 showing that a small bounce back is quite possible,

And the bounce back may be above 11478, yesterday written about the support level 11372, told last hope for Bulls’ Nifty Future made low 11377. Now what?

 

Group Works

Day’s vital resistance is 11439/43 above this Nifty Future may face next hurdle at 11479, if face hurdle at 1^st resistance then may come down to form day’s support at 11391/11388.

Tough hurdle of the day is 11497, although this is very near of Nifty Future’s life time high 11504.but may start down journey from that point.

If Nifty Future break 11372 then may take next support at 11320/11318, below this 11268 may act strong support?

Nifty Future Intraday trading

Nifty Stocks done on Tuesday

                                                         

On Tuesday Nifty open with a positive node, visa-vise Nifty Future do same, after opening it run to touch 11436, but fail to stay -  after few points correction come down to 11408, and sharply bounce back to form days’ high 11478.

bulls-bears

Tuesday written about India VIX, elaborated how market fall is related with this Index. Friday’s average was 12.6775, Monday it increased to 13.3750 and down fall in the market go stronger, at last trading session high was 13.4200.

On last trading session FII net trade value -378.84 Cr., on Monday it was -971.86 Cr. And DII net trade value +391.47 Cr. At last three trading sessions FII off loaded 1861.36 Cr.

Indian Rupee hit 70 to the USD first time on Tuesday, experts says the main reason of tension at Turkish Lira after the United States imposed tariffs on import duty on Steel and Aluminum.                    

currency chart

Is this the only reason? Look at the chart below, from 2014 to 2015 decreased the value at ratio 1.051%, 2015 to 2016 at the ratio 1.0476199% and 2017 to 2018 Aug by 1.0752348%.

      

last five years exchange rate

This is clearly indicating the continuous decreasing tendency, one sudden incident never take the whole responsibility.

 Trading Tips Intraday Nifty Future

Now what is going today?

From two days continue correction (10.08.208 to 13.08.2018) market bounce back on Tuesday. It gives some relief to the traders who are in long side. But already written about the 11490, below this level Nifty Future is overall week.

Today will keep eye on 11414/11413, if Nifty Future break it then huge volume will be generate to the down side. Last hope for bull is 11372.

Below 11318 next crucial support is 11268.75….

On the other hand if able to stay above 11414/11413 and cross 11478 (Tuesday’s high) then may face next resistance 11509.

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